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Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Real Bedford vs Bury Town prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Bedford host Bury Town in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Bedford 2–2 Bury Town.
Going into the match, Real Bedford had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 16. Bury Town had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Real Bedford's last 10 and 4 of Bury Town's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Bedford averaged 3.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Bury Town averaged 2.17 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.21 goals from Real Bedford and 1.90 from Bury Town. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 20%, against 57%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 89%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Bedford (green) and Bury Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Bedford | WDLWL | 2.60 | 1.60 | 80% | 90% |
| Bury Town | WLWLD | 1.20 | 1.90 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| Real Bedford Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.59 |
| Real Bedford HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Real Bedford form and statistics
- Bury Town form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Southern Central statistics
Other Non League Premier - Southern Central matches that day
- Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.55 - Banbury United vs Leighton Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.64 · FT 1–0 - Hitchin Town vs Stamford · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 3–0 - Kettering Town vs Leiston · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 4–0 - Needham Market vs Bishop's Stortford · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Needham Market Win @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Racing Club Warwick vs Halesowen Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 · FT 5–1 - Rushall Olympic vs Leamington · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 · FT 3–1 - Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56