Home › League stats › Non League Premier - Southern Central › Kettering Town vs Leiston
Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Kettering Town vs Leiston prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kettering Town host Leiston in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kettering Town 4–0 Leiston.
Going into the match, Kettering Town had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Leiston had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kettering Town's last 10 and 4 of Leiston's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kettering Town averaged 1.62 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Leiston averaged 1.77 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from Kettering Town and 0.93 from Leiston. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 15%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kettering Town (green) and Leiston (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kettering Town | LDLWW | 2.00 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
| Leiston | LDWLL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Kettering Town Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Kettering Town HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Kettering Town form and statistics
- Leiston form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Southern Central statistics
Other Non League Premier - Southern Central matches that day
- Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.55 - Banbury United vs Leighton Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.64 · FT 1–0 - Hitchin Town vs Stamford · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 3–0 - Needham Market vs Bishop's Stortford · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Needham Market Win @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Racing Club Warwick vs Halesowen Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 · FT 5–1 - Real Bedford vs Bury Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–2 - Rushall Olympic vs Leamington · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 · FT 3–1 - Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56