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Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alvechurch host Bromsgrove Sporting in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Alvechurch to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Alvechurch had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. Bromsgrove Sporting had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Alvechurch's last 10 and 7 of Bromsgrove Sporting's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alvechurch averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Bromsgrove Sporting averaged 2.00 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Alvechurch and 0.88 from Bromsgrove Sporting. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 28%, against 33%, 26% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alvechurch (green) and Bromsgrove Sporting (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | DDLWD | 1.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
| Bromsgrove Sporting | DWDLD | 1.50 | 0.90 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Alvechurch Win | 32% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Alvechurch form and statistics
- Bromsgrove Sporting form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Southern Central statistics
Other Non League Premier - Southern Central matches that day
- Banbury United vs Leighton Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.64 · FT 1–0 - Hitchin Town vs Stamford · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 3–0 - Kettering Town vs Leiston · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 4–0 - Needham Market vs Bishop's Stortford · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Needham Market Win @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Racing Club Warwick vs Halesowen Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55 · FT 5–1 - Real Bedford vs Bury Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–2 - Rushall Olympic vs Leamington · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 · FT 3–1 - Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56