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La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rayo Vallecano host Celta Vigo in the La Liga (Spain) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rayo Vallecano had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Celta Vigo had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Rayo Vallecano's last 10 and 5 of Celta Vigo's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rayo Vallecano averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Celta Vigo averaged 1.00 scored and 0.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Rayo Vallecano and 1.22 from Celta Vigo. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 41%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rayo Vallecano (green) and Celta Vigo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | DLDDW | 1.30 | 2.10 | 90% | 60% |
| Celta Vigo | DWWLD | 1.20 | 0.70 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Rayo Vallecano Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Barcelona vs Alaves · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.80 - Real Betis vs Malaga · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Levante vs Atletico Madrid · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57