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La Liga · Spain
Barcelona vs Alaves prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barcelona host Alaves in the La Liga (Spain) on 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Barcelona had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 39 and conceding 15. Alaves had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Barcelona's last 10 and 6 of Alaves's last 10; 10 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barcelona averaged 3.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Alaves averaged 0.89 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.39 goals from Barcelona and 0.91 from Alaves. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 12%, against 86%, 10% and 4% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barcelona (green) and Alaves (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Alaves 1–0 Barcelona
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Barcelona 1st Half Win | 69% | 1.33 |
| Barcelona HT & FT | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.80 |
| 3-0 | 13% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Real Betis vs Malaga · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo · 31 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Levante vs Atletico Madrid · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57