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Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.57Market probability 61%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Levante host Atletico Madrid in the La Liga (Spain) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Levante had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Atletico Madrid had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Levante's last 10 and 4 of Atletico Madrid's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Levante averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Atletico Madrid averaged 1.47 scored and 1.60 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Levante and 1.53 from Atletico Madrid. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 42%, against 18%, 22% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Levante (green) and Atletico Madrid (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%
Attack47% – 53%
Defence17% – 83%
Head-to-head38% – 62%
Goals36% – 64%
Overall strength33% – 66%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
LevanteLWDDL1.601.9070%70%
Atletico MadridWDWWW1.700.8040%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1279%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No75%1.25
Over 2.5 Goals61%1.57
Atletico Madrid Win59%1.55
BTTS Yes59%1.57
Under 3.5 Goals59%1.62
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals58%1.62

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other La Liga matches that day