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Primera División · Uruguay
Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Racing Montevideo host Cerro Largo in the Primera División (Uruguay) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Racing Montevideo Draw No Bet — Racing Montevideo Draw No Bet. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Racing Montevideo had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Cerro Largo had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Racing Montevideo's last 10 and 3 of Cerro Largo's last 10; 6 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Racing Montevideo averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Cerro Largo averaged 0.54 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Racing Montevideo and 0.79 from Cerro Largo. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 25%, against 53%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Racing Montevideo (green) and Cerro Largo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo | DWLLL | 1.20 | 1.80 | 40% | 60% |
| Cerro Largo | WLDLL | 0.60 | 1.00 | 30% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Racing Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo
- 26 Apr 2026 · Cerro Largo 0–1 Racing Montevideo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Racing Montevideo Win | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División matches that day
- Penarol vs Wanderers · 31 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Cerro vs Central Espanol · 31 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57