Cerro vs Central Espanol prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.57Market probability 60%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Cerro host Central Espanol in the Primera División (Uruguay) on 31 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Cerro had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Central Espanol had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 23 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Cerro's last 10 and 5 of Central Espanol's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cerro averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Central Espanol averaged 0.73 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Cerro and 0.94 from Central Espanol. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 23%, against 41%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Cerro (green) and Central Espanol (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form100% – 0%

Attack71% – 29%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals60% – 40%

Overall strength63% – 37%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Cerro	LDWLD	1.10	1.50	60%	50%
Central Espanol	LLLLL	0.80	2.30	50%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

24 May 2026 · Cerro 1–0 Central Espanol
26 Apr 2026 · Central Espanol 3–1 Cerro

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Double Chance 1X	70%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	62%	1.50
Under 2.5 Goals	60%	1.57
Under 8.5 Corners	54%	1.73
BTTS No	53%	1.73
Cerro Win	41%	2.15

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.