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Cup · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière vs Liège prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
RAAL La Louvière host Liège in the Cup (Belgium) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: RAAL La Louvière 4–0 Liège.
Going into the match, RAAL La Louvière had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Liège had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of RAAL La Louvière's last 10 and 7 of Liège's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home RAAL La Louvière averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Liège averaged 2.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from RAAL La Louvière and 1.67 from Liège. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 32%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between RAAL La Louvière (green) and Liège (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louvière | LWLWL | 1.20 | 1.80 | 40% | 70% |
| Liège | LWLDD | 2.20 | 1.90 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| RAAL La Louvière Win | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Cup matches that day
- Club Brugge KV vs Lokeren-Temse · 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Cup
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.62 · FT 1–0 - Excelsior Virton vs Genk · 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United · 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Heist vs Antwerp · 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.73 - OH Leuven vs Francs Borains · 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi · 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Charleroi Win @ 1.20 · FT 0–0