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Cup · Belgium
OH Leuven vs Francs Borains prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
OH Leuven host Francs Borains in the Cup (Belgium) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: OH Leuven 1–0 Francs Borains.
Going into the match, OH Leuven had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 24. Francs Borains had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of OH Leuven's last 10 and 3 of Francs Borains's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home OH Leuven averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Francs Borains averaged 1.56 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from OH Leuven and 1.46 from Francs Borains. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 34%, against 62%, 20% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between OH Leuven (green) and Francs Borains (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | DWDLL | 1.30 | 2.40 | 60% | 60% |
| Francs Borains | LDWWW | 1.60 | 1.00 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.40 |
| OH Leuven Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Cup matches that day
- Club Brugge KV vs Lokeren-Temse · 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Cup
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.62 · FT 1–0 - RAAL La Louvière vs Liège · 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 4–0 - Excelsior Virton vs Genk · 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United · 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Heist vs Antwerp · 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.73 - Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi · 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Charleroi Win @ 1.20 · FT 0–0