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Championship · Scotland
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Queen's Park host Dunfermline in the Championship (Scotland) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Dunfermline Win — Dunfermline to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Queen's Park had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 16. Dunfermline had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Queen's Park's last 10 and 5 of Dunfermline's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Queen's Park averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Dunfermline averaged 0.94 scored and 1.13 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Queen's Park and 0.95 from Dunfermline. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 36%, against 17%, 24% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Queen's Park (green) and Dunfermline (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's Park | LWLLL | 0.60 | 1.60 | 40% | 40% |
| Dunfermline | DDDLW | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Sep 2026 · Dunfermline 2–0 Queen's Park
- 25 Apr 2026 · Queen's Park 0–2 Dunfermline
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Dunfermline Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Livingston vs Arbroath · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Morton vs Ayr Utd · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Partick vs Stenhousemuir · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Partick Win @ 1.40 - Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33