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Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PSV Eindhoven host Willem II in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, PSV Eindhoven had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 11. Willem II had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 31 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of PSV Eindhoven's last 10 and 8 of Willem II's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PSV Eindhoven averaged 2.93 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Willem II averaged 1.60 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.51 goals from PSV Eindhoven and 0.98 from Willem II. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 6%, against 88%, 8% and 4% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | DWLLW | 2.10 | 1.10 | 70% | 50% |
| Willem II | WLLLL | 1.30 | 3.10 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| PSV Eindhoven HT & FT | 72% | 1.33 |
| PSV Eindhoven 1st Half Win | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eredivisie matches that day
- Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen · 31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard · 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.80