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Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Heerenveen host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Heerenveen had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. NEC Nijmegen had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Heerenveen's last 10 and 8 of NEC Nijmegen's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Heerenveen averaged 2.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home NEC Nijmegen averaged 1.38 scored and 2.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Heerenveen and 1.58 from NEC Nijmegen. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 28%, against 46%, 24% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Heerenveen (green) and NEC Nijmegen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | WWWLW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 40% | 60% |
| NEC Nijmegen | DWDDD | 1.40 | 2.20 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Heerenveen Win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Heerenveen HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eredivisie matches that day
- Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II · 31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard · 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.80