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FNL · Czech Republic
Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Prostějov host Ústí nad Labem in the FNL (Czech Republic) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Prostějov 2–2 Ústí nad Labem.
Going into the match, Prostějov had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Ústí nad Labem had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Prostějov's last 10 and 5 of Ústí nad Labem's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Prostějov averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Ústí nad Labem averaged 1.29 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Prostějov and 1.16 from Ústí nad Labem. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 25%, against 31%, 26% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Prostějov (green) and Ústí nad Labem (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prostějov | DWDDD | 1.70 | 1.20 | 80% | 70% |
| Ústí nad Labem | LWLDW | 1.60 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Prostějov 2–1 Ústí nad Labem
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Ústí nad Labem Win | 44% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FNL matches that day
- Opava vs Vysočina Jihlava · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–3 - Příbram vs Třinec · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–3 - Karviná vs Dukla Praha · 16 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–0 - Vlašim vs Hanácká · 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–0 - Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 2–1