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FNL · Czech Republic
Příbram vs Třinec prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Příbram host Třinec in the FNL (Czech Republic) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Příbram 2–3 Třinec.
Going into the match, Příbram had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Třinec had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 10 of Příbram's last 10 and 5 of Třinec's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Příbram averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Třinec averaged 1.53 scored and 1.65 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Příbram and 1.25 from Třinec. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 33%, against 55%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Příbram (green) and Třinec (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FNL matches that day
- Opava vs Vysočina Jihlava · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–3 - Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Karviná vs Dukla Praha · 16 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–0 - Vlašim vs Hanácká · 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–0 - Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 2–1