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FNL · Czech Republic
Karviná vs Dukla Praha prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Karviná host Dukla Praha in the FNL (Czech Republic) on 16 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Karviná 3–0 Dukla Praha.
Going into the match, Karviná had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 11. Dukla Praha had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Karviná's last 10 and 7 of Dukla Praha's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Karviná averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Dukla Praha averaged 1.81 scored and 1.56 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Karviná and 1.33 from Dukla Praha. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 28%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Karviná (green) and Dukla Praha (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karviná | WDWLW | 2.30 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Dukla Praha | WLDWW | 2.30 | 1.40 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Dukla Praha 1–2 Karviná
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FNL matches that day
- Opava vs Vysočina Jihlava · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–3 - Příbram vs Třinec · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–3 - Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem · 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Vlašim vs Hanácká · 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–0 - Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · FNL
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 2–1