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I Liga · Poland
Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Polonia Bytom host Chrobry Głogów in the I Liga (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Polonia Bytom 3–2 Chrobry Głogów.
Going into the match, Polonia Bytom had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Chrobry Głogów had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Polonia Bytom's last 10 and 4 of Chrobry Głogów's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Polonia Bytom averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Chrobry Głogów averaged 1.00 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Polonia Bytom and 1.36 from Chrobry Głogów. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 25%, against 49%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Polonia Bytom (green) and Chrobry Głogów (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Bytom | WLDWD | 1.30 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
| Chrobry Głogów | LLLDD | 0.80 | 1.30 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other I Liga matches that day
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53