Home › League stats › I Liga › Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec
I Liga · Poland
Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Miedz Legnica host Stal Mielec in the I Liga (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Miedz Legnica 3–0 Stal Mielec.
Going into the match, Miedz Legnica had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Stal Mielec had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Miedz Legnica's last 10 and 8 of Stal Mielec's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Miedz Legnica averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Stal Mielec averaged 1.13 scored and 2.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Miedz Legnica and 1.05 from Stal Mielec. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 18%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Miedz Legnica (green) and Stal Mielec (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedz Legnica | LLLLD | 1.10 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
| Stal Mielec | WLLDD | 1.60 | 2.50 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Miedz Legnica 1–0 Stal Mielec
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Miedz Legnica Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Over 11.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other I Liga matches that day
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–2