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Thai League 2 · Thailand
Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Police Tero host Kasetsart FC in the Thai League 2 (Thailand) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Police Tero to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Police Tero 5–3 Kasetsart FC.
Going into the match, Police Tero had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Kasetsart FC had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 8, with 6 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Police Tero's last 10 and 2 of Kasetsart FC's last 8; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Police Tero averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Kasetsart FC averaged 0.00 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.39 goals from Police Tero and 0.95 from Kasetsart FC. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 13%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Police Tero (green) and Kasetsart FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police Tero | LDLLW | 1.20 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
| Kasetsart FC | WLDLL | 0.75 | 1.75 | 25% | 25% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Police Tero Win | 47% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| Police Tero HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Thai League 2 matches that day
- Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Thai League 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 · FT 0–1 - Muang Loei United vs Kanchanaburi · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Thai League 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Chiangmai United vs Songkhla · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Thai League 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 - Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Thai League 2
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.40