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Thai League 2 · Thailand
Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Phrae United host Nakhon Ratchasima FC in the Thai League 2 (Thailand) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Phrae United to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Phrae United 0–1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
Going into the match, Phrae United had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Nakhon Ratchasima FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Phrae United's last 8 and 8 of Nakhon Ratchasima FC's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Phrae United averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Nakhon Ratchasima FC averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Phrae United and 1.01 from Nakhon Ratchasima FC. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 27%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Phrae United (green) and Nakhon Ratchasima FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phrae United | WWWLD | 1.00 | 1.38 | 38% | 50% |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | WDLDL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Phrae United Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Thai League 2 matches that day
- Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Thai League 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 5–3 - Muang Loei United vs Kanchanaburi · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Thai League 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Chiangmai United vs Songkhla · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Thai League 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 - Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Thai League 2
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.40