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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Platense vs Lanus prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Platense host Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Platense 0–1 Lanus.
Going into the match, Platense had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Lanus had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Platense's last 10 and 4 of Lanus's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Platense averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.24 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Lanus averaged 0.67 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Platense and 0.99 from Lanus. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 34%, against 33%, 34% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Platense (green) and Lanus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Profesional Argentina matches that day
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre · 17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.20 · FT 2–2 - Banfield vs Argentinos JRS · 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 - Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba · 17 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Boca Juniors Win @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba · 16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40