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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina

Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 66%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Defensa Y Justicia host Instituto Cordoba in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Defensa Y Justicia 0–1 Instituto Cordoba.

Going into the match, Defensa Y Justicia had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Instituto Cordoba had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Defensa Y Justicia's last 10 and 6 of Instituto Cordoba's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Defensa Y Justicia averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Instituto Cordoba averaged 1.30 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Defensa Y Justicia and 1.34 from Instituto Cordoba. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 41%, against 35%, 32% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Defensa Y Justicia (green) and Instituto Cordoba (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack41% – 59%
Defence73% – 27%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals36% – 64%
Overall strength50% – 49%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Defensa Y JusticiaWWDWL1.500.9040%50%
Instituto CordobaDWWWL1.700.9060%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals72%1.30
Double Chance 1269%1.36
Over 1.5 Goals66%1.40
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals63%1.50
Under 2.5 Goals59%1.57
Over 8.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS No52%1.80
Over 2.5 Goals41%2.35

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Liga Profesional Argentina matches that day