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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Independ. Rivadavia host Tigre in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Independ. Rivadavia to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre.
Going into the match, Independ. Rivadavia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Tigre had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Independ. Rivadavia's last 10 and 6 of Tigre's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Independ. Rivadavia averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Tigre averaged 1.07 scored and 1.20 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Independ. Rivadavia and 1.05 from Tigre. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 27%, against 48%, 30% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Independ. Rivadavia (green) and Tigre (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independ. Rivadavia | LDWDW | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
| Tigre | LLLLL | 0.80 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Jul 2026 · Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Tigre
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Independ. Rivadavia Win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Independ. Rivadavia form and statistics
- Tigre form and statistics
- Liga Profesional Argentina statistics
Other Liga Profesional Argentina matches that day
- Platense vs Lanus · 17 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.57 · FT 0–1 - Banfield vs Argentinos JRS · 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 - Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba · 17 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Boca Juniors Win @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba · 16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40