Home › League stats › Liga Nacional › Platense FC vs CD Motagua
Liga Nacional · Honduras
Platense FC vs CD Motagua prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Platense FC host CD Motagua in the Liga Nacional (Honduras) on 17 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is CD Motagua Win — CD Motagua to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Platense FC 0–2 CD Motagua.
Going into the match, Platense FC had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 23. CD Motagua had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Platense FC's last 10 and 5 of CD Motagua's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Platense FC averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home CD Motagua averaged 1.29 scored and 0.86 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.66 goals from Platense FC and 1.94 from CD Motagua. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 67%, against 20%, 24% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Platense FC (green) and CD Motagua (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense FC | WLDLW | 0.80 | 2.30 | 50% | 70% |
| CD Motagua | WLDWW | 1.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| CD Motagua Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| CD Motagua HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Nacional matches that day
- Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm · 18 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 · FT 0–4 - Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma · 17 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56