Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.56Market probability 60%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Juticalpa host Atlético Choloma in the Liga Nacional (Honduras) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.56, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Juticalpa 1–2 Atlético Choloma.

Going into the match, Juticalpa had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 21. Atlético Choloma had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Juticalpa's last 10 and 3 of Atlético Choloma's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juticalpa averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Atlético Choloma averaged 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Juticalpa and 1.47 from Atlético Choloma. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 42%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Juticalpa (green) and Atlético Choloma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form60% – 40%

Attack60% – 40%

Defence36% – 64%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals58% – 42%

Overall strength56% – 43%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Juticalpa	LWLLW	1.00	2.10	50%	70%
Atlético Choloma	LWLDL	0.80	1.00	30%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.20
Double Chance 12	73%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	71%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	62%	1.46
BTTS Yes	59%	1.56
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.70
Under 2.5 Goals	46%	2.10
Juticalpa Win	38%	2.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.