Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.61Market probability 56%Final score 0–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Atletico Independiente host Lobos Upnfm in the Liga Nacional (Honduras) on 18 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.61, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Atletico Independiente 0–4 Lobos Upnfm.

Going into the match, Atletico Independiente had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Lobos Upnfm had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Atletico Independiente's last 9 and 4 of Lobos Upnfm's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico Independiente averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Lobos Upnfm averaged 0.57 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Atletico Independiente and 1.21 from Lobos Upnfm. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 41%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Atletico Independiente (green) and Lobos Upnfm (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form42% – 58%

Attack57% – 43%

Defence27% – 73%

Overall strength50% – 49%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Atletico Independiente	DLWDL	0.89	1.33	67%	44%
Lobos Upnfm	DWWLL	0.90	1.30	40%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	71%	1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.37
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	64%	1.42
BTTS Yes	56%	1.61
Over 2.5 Goals	50%	2.00
Under 2.5 Goals	50%	1.80
Lobos Upnfm Win	39%	2.35
Draw	29%	3.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.