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Serie C - Girone B · Italy
Pineto vs Gubbio prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pineto host Gubbio in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Pineto had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Gubbio had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Pineto's last 10 and 5 of Gubbio's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pineto averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Gubbio averaged 0.89 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Pineto and 1.14 from Gubbio. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 35%, against 46%, 29% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pineto (green) and Gubbio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Aug 2026 · Pineto 1–2 Gubbio
- 3 May 2026 · Pineto 2–1 Gubbio
- 26 Apr 2026 · Gubbio 2–0 Pineto
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Pineto Win | 51% | 1.95 |
| Pineto HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone B matches that day
- Ostia Mare vs Vado · 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Perugia vs Pescara · 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone B
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67