Perugia vs Pescara prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.67Market probability 57%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Perugia host Pescara in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Perugia had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Pescara had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Perugia's last 10 and 5 of Pescara's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Perugia averaged 0.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Pescara averaged 1.33 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Perugia and 1.16 from Pescara. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 33%, against 35%, 28% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Perugia (green) and Pescara (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%

Attack60% – 40%

Defence33% – 67%

Head-to-head75% – 25%

Goals67% – 33%

Overall strength54% – 46%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Perugia	WLWWL	1.40	1.50	40%	60%
Pescara	WDWLW	1.30	1.20	50%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	75%	1.25
Double Chance 12	73%	1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	57%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80
Over 9.5 Corners	50%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.