Ostia Mare vs Vado prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.28Market probability 73%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ostia Mare host Vado in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Ostia Mare had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Vado had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Ostia Mare's last 10 and 3 of Vado's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ostia Mare averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Vado averaged 1.60 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Ostia Mare and 1.17 from Vado. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 39%, against 46%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ostia Mare (green) and Vado (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form43% – 57%

Attack44% – 56%

Defence43% – 57%

Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Ostia Mare	LDDDW	0.90	1.20	50%	30%
Vado	DWWDL	0.80	1.30	30%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	74%	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	71%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS Yes	54%	1.80
Under 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Over 2.5 Goals	50%	1.95

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.