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League One · England
Peterborough vs Luton prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · ABAX Stadium, Peterborough
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Peterborough host Luton in the League One (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Peterborough had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 18. Luton had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Peterborough's last 10 and 8 of Luton's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Peterborough averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Luton averaged 2.31 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Peterborough and 1.83 from Luton. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 52%, against 27%, 25% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Peterborough (green) and Luton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough | LDLDW | 1.70 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
| Luton | WWWLW | 2.10 | 1.10 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Luton Win | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Barnsley vs Oxford United · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Barnsley +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.20 - Leicester vs Stevenage · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Mansfield Town vs Notts County · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Stockport County Win @ 1.25 - Wigan vs Bromley · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Wycombe vs Burton Albion · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Burton Albion +2.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.20 - Bradford vs Huddersfield · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Plymouth vs Reading · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44