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League One · England
Mansfield Town vs Notts County prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Field Mill, Mansfield
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mansfield Town host Notts County in the League One (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Mansfield Town had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Notts County had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Mansfield Town's last 10 and 6 of Notts County's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mansfield Town averaged 1.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Notts County averaged 1.08 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Mansfield Town and 1.55 from Notts County. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 40%, against 51%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mansfield Town (green) and Notts County (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | WWDWL | 1.70 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
| Notts County | DWLWL | 1.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Barnsley vs Oxford United · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Barnsley +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.20 - Leicester vs Stevenage · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Peterborough vs Luton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Stockport County Win @ 1.25 - Wigan vs Bromley · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Wycombe vs Burton Albion · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Burton Albion +2.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.20 - Bradford vs Huddersfield · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Plymouth vs Reading · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44