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League One · England
Leicester vs Stevenage prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · King Power Stadium, Leicester
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leicester host Stevenage in the League One (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Leicester had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 17. Stevenage had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Leicester's last 10 and 4 of Stevenage's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leicester averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Stevenage averaged 1.45 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Leicester and 1.14 from Stevenage. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 58%, 23% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leicester (green) and Stevenage (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Oct 2026 · Stevenage 2–1 Leicester
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Leicester Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Barnsley vs Oxford United · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Barnsley +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.20 - Mansfield Town vs Notts County · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Peterborough vs Luton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Stockport County Win @ 1.25 - Wigan vs Bromley · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Wycombe vs Burton Albion · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Burton Albion +2.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.20 - Bradford vs Huddersfield · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Plymouth vs Reading · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44