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AFC Challenge League · International
Paro vs Al Ansar prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Paro host Al Ansar in the AFC Challenge League (International) on 20 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Paro 1–2 Al Ansar.
Going into the match, Paro had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 39 and conceding 5. Al Ansar had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Paro's last 10 and 6 of Al Ansar's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Paro averaged 3.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Al Ansar averaged 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Paro and 1.25 from Al Ansar. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 30%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Paro (green) and Al Ansar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Al Ansar Win | 44% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other AFC Challenge League matches that day
- Regar-TadAZ vs Al Qadsia · 20 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 2.15 · FT 0–1 - Al Ittihad vs Ahal · 20 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 5–1 - Fortis vs Goa · 20 Oct 2026, 13:25 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.91 · FT 1–2 - Wathba vs Al Nejmeh · 20 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.57 · FT 2–1