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AFC Challenge League · International
Fortis vs Goa prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 13:25 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fortis host Goa in the AFC Challenge League (International) on 20 Oct 2026, 13:25 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Fortis to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.91, which the bookmaker market rated at about 47% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fortis 1–2 Goa.
Going into the match, Fortis had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 31 and conceding 12. Goa had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Fortis's last 10 and 5 of Goa's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fortis averaged 2.29 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Goa averaged 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.49 goals from Fortis and 1.07 from Goa. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 14%, against 20%, 25% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fortis (green) and Goa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 79% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Goa HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other AFC Challenge League matches that day
- Regar-TadAZ vs Al Qadsia · 20 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 2.15 · FT 0–1 - Al Ittihad vs Ahal · 20 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 5–1 - Paro vs Al Ansar · 20 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 1–2 - Wathba vs Al Nejmeh · 20 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.57 · FT 2–1