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Al Ittihad vs Ahal prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Ittihad host Ahal in the AFC Challenge League (International) on 20 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.68, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Ittihad 5–1 Ahal.
Going into the match, Al Ittihad had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 6. Ahal had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Al Ittihad's last 10 and 5 of Ahal's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Ittihad averaged 2.56 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ahal averaged 2.56 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.04 goals from Al Ittihad and 0.97 from Ahal. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 8%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Ittihad (green) and Ahal (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | LWWWW | 2.40 | 0.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Ahal | DLWWL | 2.60 | 1.40 | 50% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.68 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Al Ittihad Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other AFC Challenge League matches that day
- Regar-TadAZ vs Al Qadsia · 20 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 2.15 · FT 0–1 - Fortis vs Goa · 20 Oct 2026, 13:25 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.91 · FT 1–2 - Paro vs Al Ansar · 20 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 1–2 - Wathba vs Al Nejmeh · 20 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.57 · FT 2–1