Panevėžys vs Banga prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 11:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 71%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Panevėžys host Banga in the A Lyga (Lithuania) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Panevėžys 2–1 Banga.

Going into the match, Panevėžys had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Banga had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Panevėžys's last 10 and 5 of Banga's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Panevėžys averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Banga averaged 1.62 scored and 0.62 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Panevėžys and 0.97 from Banga. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 28%, against 37%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Panevėžys (green) and Banga (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form64% – 36%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence64% – 36%

Head-to-head93% – 7%

Goals80% – 20%

Overall strength66% – 33%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Panevėžys	WWLWW	1.50	0.60	20%	20%
Banga	WLLDD	1.30	1.50	50%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

3 Sep 2026 · Banga 0–3 Panevėžys
24 May 2026 · Panevėžys 1–0 Banga

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	71%	1.28
Over 1.5 Goals	71%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	71%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS Yes	54%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	1.95

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.