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A Lyga · Lithuania
Džiugas Telšiai vs TransINVEST Vilnius prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Džiugas Telšiai host TransINVEST Vilnius in the A Lyga (Lithuania) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Džiugas Telšiai 3–3 TransINVEST Vilnius.
Going into the match, Džiugas Telšiai had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. TransINVEST Vilnius had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Džiugas Telšiai's last 10 and 6 of TransINVEST Vilnius's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Džiugas Telšiai averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 15 matches; away from home TransINVEST Vilnius averaged 2.71 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Džiugas Telšiai and 1.87 from TransINVEST Vilnius. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 51%, against 28%, 25% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Džiugas Telšiai (green) and TransINVEST Vilnius (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Džiugas Telšiai | LLDLL | 0.80 | 1.80 | 30% | 30% |
| TransINVEST Vilnius | WWLWD | 1.60 | 1.30 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · TransINVEST Vilnius 1–0 Džiugas Telšiai
- 24 May 2026 · Džiugas Telšiai 3–2 TransINVEST Vilnius
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other A Lyga matches that day
- Panevėžys vs Banga · 17 Oct 2026, 11:15 UTC · A Lyga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33