Home › League stats › Primera B › Orsomarso vs Bogota FC
Primera B · Colombia
Orsomarso vs Bogota FC prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Orsomarso host Bogota FC in the Primera B (Colombia) on 19 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Orsomarso to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Orsomarso 0–1 Bogota FC.
Going into the match, Orsomarso had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Bogota FC had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Orsomarso's last 10 and 4 of Bogota FC's last 10; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Orsomarso averaged 0.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Bogota FC averaged 0.50 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.69 goals from Orsomarso and 0.59 from Bogota FC. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 43% and an away win at 25%, against 43%, 30% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Orsomarso (green) and Bogota FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Apr 2026 · Bogota FC 2–0 Orsomarso
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.72 |
| Orsomarso Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Orsomarso HT & FT | 28% | 3.40 |
| 1-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera B matches that day
- Depor FC vs Quindio · 20 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.20 · FT 0–1 - Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan · 20 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 · FT 3–0 - Tigres FC vs Real Cundinamarca · 20 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–0 - Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena · 19 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–1