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Primera B · Colombia
Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Internacional Palmira host Union Magdalena in the Primera B (Colombia) on 19 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Internacional Palmira to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Internacional Palmira 0–1 Union Magdalena.
Going into the match, Internacional Palmira had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Union Magdalena had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Internacional Palmira's last 10 and 9 of Union Magdalena's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Internacional Palmira averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Union Magdalena averaged 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.70 goals from Internacional Palmira and 0.90 from Union Magdalena. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 37%, against 48%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Internacional Palmira (green) and Union Magdalena (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional Palmira | DDLWW | 0.80 | 1.00 | 40% | 20% |
| Union Magdalena | DDDWD | 1.40 | 1.20 | 90% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Apr 2026 · Union Magdalena 0–2 Internacional Palmira
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.78 |
| Internacional Palmira Win | 45% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Internacional Palmira HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera B matches that day
- Depor FC vs Quindio · 20 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.20 · FT 0–1 - Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan · 20 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 · FT 3–0 - Tigres FC vs Real Cundinamarca · 20 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–0 - Orsomarso vs Bogota FC · 19 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–1