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Primera B · Colombia
Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ind. Yumbo host Popayan in the Primera B (Colombia) on 20 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ind. Yumbo 3–0 Popayan.
Going into the match, Ind. Yumbo had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Popayan had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Ind. Yumbo's last 10 and 7 of Popayan's last 10; 1 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ind. Yumbo averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Popayan averaged 1.67 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Ind. Yumbo and 1.01 from Popayan. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 23%, against 52%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ind. Yumbo (green) and Popayan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ind. Yumbo | DDWWL | 1.20 | 0.70 | 30% | 10% |
| Popayan | LLDWW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Ind. Yumbo Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.78 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Ind. Yumbo HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| 1-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera B matches that day
- Depor FC vs Quindio · 20 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.20 · FT 0–1 - Tigres FC vs Real Cundinamarca · 20 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–0 - Orsomarso vs Bogota FC · 19 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–1 - Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena · 19 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–1