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First NL · Croatia

Opatija vs Sesvete prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.28Market probability 71%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Opatija host Sesvete in the First NL (Croatia) on 16 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Opatija 1–0 Sesvete.

Going into the match, Opatija had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Sesvete had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Opatija's last 10 and 4 of Sesvete's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Opatija averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Sesvete averaged 0.89 scored and 2.00 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Opatija and 0.81 from Sesvete. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 23%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Opatija (green) and Sesvete (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%
Attack45% – 55%
Defence46% – 54%
Head-to-head62% – 38%
Goals60% – 40%
Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
OpatijaDWLLL1.101.2060%40%
SesveteDLLWW1.101.3040%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1271%1.28
Over 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals65%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals55%1.65
Under 8.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS No49%1.80
Over 2.5 Goals45%2.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other First NL matches that day