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First NL · Croatia
Opatija vs Sesvete prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Opatija host Sesvete in the First NL (Croatia) on 16 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Opatija 1–0 Sesvete.
Going into the match, Opatija had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Sesvete had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Opatija's last 10 and 4 of Sesvete's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Opatija averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Sesvete averaged 0.89 scored and 2.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Opatija and 0.81 from Sesvete. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 23%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Opatija (green) and Sesvete (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.65 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First NL matches that day
- Dinamo Zagreb U21 vs Karlovac 1919 · 16 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 0–1