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1. Division · Cyprus

Omonia Nicosia vs AEL prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · GSP Stadium, Nicosia

The PunterPick prediction

Omonia Nicosia WinOdds 1.27Market probability 74%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Omonia Nicosia host AEL in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Omonia Nicosia Win — Omonia Nicosia to win. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Omonia Nicosia had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 11. AEL had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Omonia Nicosia's last 10 and 5 of AEL's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Omonia Nicosia averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 17 matches; away from home AEL averaged 1.63 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from Omonia Nicosia and 0.85 from AEL. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 16%, against 72%, 18% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Omonia Nicosia (green) and AEL (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals88% – 12%
Overall strength63% – 36%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Omonia NicosiaLLDWW1.801.1040%60%
AELLWWWW1.801.3050%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Omonia Nicosia Win76%1.27
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.25
Over 2.5 Goals61%1.53
Under 3.5 Goals59%1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals58%1.62
Omonia Nicosia 1st Half Win54%1.67
Omonia Nicosia HT & FT52%1.80
BTTS No51%1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other 1. Division matches that day