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1. Division · Cyprus
Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Stelios Chari Stadium, Ypsonas
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Krasava Ypsonas host AEK Larnaca in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Krasava Ypsonas had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. AEK Larnaca had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Krasava Ypsonas's last 10 and 6 of AEK Larnaca's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Krasava Ypsonas averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home AEK Larnaca averaged 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.67 goals from Krasava Ypsonas and 2.13 from AEK Larnaca. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 70%, against 15%, 22% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Krasava Ypsonas (green) and AEK Larnaca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasava Ypsonas | DWWLL | 1.00 | 2.00 | 60% | 60% |
| AEK Larnaca | WDDWW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| AEK Larnaca Win | 66% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Division matches that day
- Omonia Nicosia vs AEL · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Omonia Nicosia Win @ 1.27 - Apollon Limassol vs Pafos · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36