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1. Division · Cyprus
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Alphamega Stadium, Limassol
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Apollon Limassol host Pafos in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Apollon Limassol had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 13. Pafos had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Apollon Limassol's last 10 and 3 of Pafos's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Apollon Limassol averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Pafos averaged 1.28 scored and 1.17 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Apollon Limassol and 1.06 from Pafos. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 30%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Apollon Limassol (green) and Pafos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol | WWWLD | 2.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 80% |
| Pafos | DDDLW | 1.00 | 0.70 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 May 2026 · Apollon Limassol 0–2 Pafos
- 3 May 2026 · Apollon Limassol 2–1 Pafos
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Division matches that day
- Omonia Nicosia vs AEL · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Omonia Nicosia Win @ 1.27 - Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36