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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Okzhetpes vs Kyzyl-Zhar prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Okzhetpes host Kyzyl-Zhar in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Okzhetpes 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar.
Going into the match, Okzhetpes had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Kyzyl-Zhar had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Okzhetpes's last 10 and 7 of Kyzyl-Zhar's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Okzhetpes averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kyzyl-Zhar averaged 0.86 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from Okzhetpes and 0.97 from Kyzyl-Zhar. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 18%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Okzhetpes (green) and Kyzyl-Zhar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okzhetpes | LWLWW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
| Kyzyl-Zhar | WDLLL | 1.30 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Kyzyl-Zhar 0–1 Okzhetpes
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.37 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
| Okzhetpes Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Aktobe vs Ordabasy · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 - FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 - Zhetysu vs Kaisar · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 2–1