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Premier League · Kazakhstan
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FK Tobol Kostanay host Zhenys in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — FK Tobol Kostanay to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FK Tobol Kostanay 4–2 Zhenys.
Going into the match, FK Tobol Kostanay had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Zhenys had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FK Tobol Kostanay's last 10 and 6 of Zhenys's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Tobol Kostanay averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Zhenys averaged 1.21 scored and 1.93 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from FK Tobol Kostanay and 1.07 from Zhenys. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 19%, against 46%, 28% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FK Tobol Kostanay (green) and Zhenys (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Tobol Kostanay | WLWWL | 1.50 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
| Zhenys | LLWLL | 1.40 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Zhenys 1–0 FK Tobol Kostanay
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay Win | 45% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Aktobe vs Ordabasy · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.62 - Zhetysu vs Kaisar · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 2–1 - Okzhetpes vs Kyzyl-Zhar · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–0