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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Aktobe vs Ordabasy prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aktobe host Ordabasy in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aktobe 1–3 Ordabasy.
Going into the match, Aktobe had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Ordabasy had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Aktobe's last 10 and 5 of Ordabasy's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aktobe averaged 1.54 goals scored and 0.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Ordabasy averaged 2.21 scored and 1.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Aktobe and 1.84 from Ordabasy. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 57%, against 29%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Ordabasy 2–0 Aktobe
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.90 |
| Ordabasy Win | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 - Zhetysu vs Kaisar · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 2–1 - Okzhetpes vs Kyzyl-Zhar · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–0