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Ligue 1 · France
Nice vs Rennes prediction and preview
30 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nice host Rennes in the Ligue 1 (France) on 30 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Nice had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Rennes had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Nice's last 10 and 5 of Rennes's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nice averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Rennes averaged 1.55 scored and 2.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Nice and 1.05 from Rennes. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 28%, against 35%, 25% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nice (green) and Rennes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Lille vs Lens · 30 Oct 2026, 20:05 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain · 30 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70