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Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction and preview
30 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 (France) on 30 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Le Havre had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Paris Saint Germain had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Le Havre's last 10 and 8 of Paris Saint Germain's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Le Havre averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Paris Saint Germain averaged 1.77 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Le Havre and 2.04 from Paris Saint Germain. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 62%, against 10%, 16% and 74% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Le Havre (green) and Paris Saint Germain (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | LLLWL | 1.50 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Paris Saint Germain | WWWWW | 2.80 | 1.20 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Paris Saint Germain Win | 75% | 1.27 |
| Paris Saint Germain 1st Half Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Paris Saint Germain HT & FT | 58% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.75 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 46% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Lille vs Lens · 30 Oct 2026, 20:05 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Nice vs Rennes · 30 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50