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League Cup · Northern Ireland
Newington Youth vs Ballymena United prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Newington Youth host Ballymena United in the League Cup (Northern Ireland) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Newington Youth 1–3 Ballymena United.
Going into the match, Newington Youth had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 19. Ballymena United had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Newington Youth's last 10 and 7 of Ballymena United's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Newington Youth averaged 2.67 goals scored and 2.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ballymena United averaged 2.18 scored and 1.41 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Newington Youth and 2.70 from Ballymena United. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 67%, against 16%, 18% and 66% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Newington Youth (green) and Ballymena United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newington Youth | WLLWL | 2.10 | 1.90 | 40% | 70% |
| Ballymena United | WLWWD | 1.40 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Ballymena United Win | 68% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.80 |
| Ballymena United HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Cup matches that day
- Annagh United vs Limavady United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
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Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–0 - Strabane Athletic vs Glenavon FC · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League Cup
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